Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.245860 0.285373 0.329230 0.381529 0.442218 0.510454 0.593043
2025-05-25 0.175830 0.226190 0.288061 0.369720 0.474780 0.605580 0.781110
2025-06-01 0.146403 0.202134 0.275559 0.379489 0.523076 0.714890 0.991379
2025-06-08 0.123916 0.181223 0.261143 0.380908 0.556279 0.804427 1.183678
2025-06-15 0.108815 0.167261 0.252879 0.387685 0.595285 0.904072 1.400616
2025-06-22 0.093365 0.150017 0.236724 0.379399 0.609224 0.966648 1.568135
2025-06-29 0.082045 0.137269 0.225240 0.375942 0.628889 1.038638 1.757490
2025-07-06 0.073878 0.128324 0.218327 0.378379 0.657466 1.126995 1.983220
2025-07-13 0.069735 0.125469 0.220865 0.396576 0.714172 1.267870 2.315094
2025-07-20 0.065256 0.121362 0.220594 0.409522 0.762757 1.399623 2.646316
2025-07-27 0.061149 0.117352 0.219887 0.421331 0.810260 1.534202 2.998464
2025-08-03 0.056549 0.111808 0.215640 0.425813 0.844181 1.646910 3.321898
2025-08-10 0.051336 0.104559 0.207546 0.422306 0.863022 1.734614 3.610734
2025-08-17 0.045687 0.095768 0.195471 0.409467 0.861781 1.782963 3.826608
2025-08-24 0.043144 0.093000 0.195040 0.420291 0.910282 1.937147 4.283294
2025-08-31 0.039978 0.088517 0.190529 0.421865 0.939167 2.053435 4.672279
2025-09-07 0.037661 0.085575 0.188892 0.429377 0.981704 2.203483 5.154822
2025-09-14 0.034222 0.079715 0.180253 0.420191 0.985566 2.268518 5.450259
2025-09-21 0.031549 0.075287 0.174282 0.416360 1.001192 2.361694 5.823449
2025-09-28 0.029594 0.072305 0.171260 0.419061 1.032499 2.494639 6.309555
2025-10-05 0.028935 0.072359 0.175308 0.439232 1.108508 2.742470 7.112758
2025-10-12 0.027931 0.071441 0.176926 0.453583 1.171752 2.966435 7.883766
2025-10-19 0.026907 0.070352 0.177999 0.466675 1.233343 3.193327 8.691585